Project code: 713679

Record's date: 2023-08-05

Papper version: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

Licence document URL: http://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/

Papper original source: Physical Review Research. 2 (2): Art num 023181-

APA: Benjamin Steinegger, Alex Arenas, Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes, and Clara Granell (2020). Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases. Physical Review Research, 2(2), Art num 023181-. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181

Acronym: MFP

First page: Article number 023181

Publication Type: Journal Publications

Author, as appears in the article.: Benjamin Steinegger, Alex Arenas, Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes, and Clara Granell

Department: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques

URV's Author/s: Arenas Moreno, Alejandro / Steinegger, Benjamin Franz Josef

Abstract: Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic.We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence.We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.

Thematic Areas: Physics, multidisciplinary Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all)

licence for use: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/

ISSN: 2643-1564

Author's mail: alexandre.arenas@urv.cat benjamin.steinegger@estudiants.urv.cat

Author identifier: 0000-0003-0937-0334 0000-0002-0723-1536

Journal volume: 2

Link to the original source: https://journals.aps.org/prresearch/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181

Funding program: Horizon 2020

Article's DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181

Entity: Universitat Rovira i Virgili

Journal publication year: 2020

Funding program action: Martí i Franquès COFUND