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Optimal threshold of data envelopment analysis in bankruptcy prediction - RP:5239

Autor segons l'article:Hampel, David
Staňková, Michaela
Any de publicació de la revista:2023
Tipus de publicació:##rt.metadata.pkp.peerReviewed##
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Resum:Data envelopment analysis is not typically used for bankruptcy prediction. However, this paper shows that a correctly set up a model for this approach can be very useful in that context. A superefficiency model was applied to classify bankrupt and actively manufactured companies in the European Union. To select an appropriate threshold, the Youden index and the distance from the corner were used in addition to the total accuracy. The results indicate that selecting a suitable threshold improves specificity visibly with only a small reduction in the total accuracy. The thresholds of the best models appear to be robust enough for predictions in different time and economic sectors.
Paraules clau:bankruptcy prediction
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