Autor segons l'article: Gutierrez-Roig, Mario; Segura, Carlota; Duch, Jordi; Perello, Josep;
Departament: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques
Autor/s de la URV: Duch Gavaldà, Jordi
Paraules clau: Gender equality
Resum: Decisions made in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market provides a rich environment to study how people make decisions since responding to market uncertainty needs a constant update of these strategies. For this purpose, we run a lab-in-the-field experiment where volunteers are given a controlled set of financial information -based on real data from worldwide financial indices- and they are required to guess whether the market price would go "up" or "down" in each situation. From the data collected we explore basic statistical traits, behavioural biases and emerging strategies. In particular, we detect unintended patterns of behavior through consistent actions, which can be interpreted as Market Imitation and Win-Stay Lose-Shift emerging strategies, with Market Imitation being the most dominant. We also observe that these strategies are affected by external factors: the expert advice, the lack of information or an information overload reinforce the use of these intuitive strategies, while the probability to follow them significantly decreases when subjects spends more time to make a decision. The cohort analysis shows that women and children are more prone to use such strategies although their performance is not undermined. Our results are of interest for better handling clients expectations of trading companies, to avoid behavioural anomalies in financial analysts decisions and to improve not only the design of markets but also the trading digital interfaces where information is set down. Strategies and behavioural biases observed can also be translated into new agent based modelling or stochastic price dynamics to better understand financial bubbles or the effects of asymmetric risk perception to price drops.
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Accès a la llicència d'ús: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
Adreça de correu electrònic de l'autor: jordi.duch@urv.cat
Identificador de l'autor: 0000-0003-2639-6333
Data d'alta del registre: 2024-11-16
Versió de l'article dipositat: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
URL Document de llicència: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
Referència a l'article segons font original: Plos One. 11 (8): e0159078-e0159078
Referència de l'ítem segons les normes APA: Gutierrez-Roig, Mario; Segura, Carlota; Duch, Jordi; Perello, Josep; (2016). Market Imitation and Win-Stay Lose-Shift Strategies Emerge as Unintended Patterns in Market Direction Guesses. Plos One, 11(8), e0159078-e0159078. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0159078
Entitat: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
Any de publicació de la revista: 2016
Tipus de publicació: Journal Publications
Repositori URV