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Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases

  • Dades identificatives

    Identificador: imarina:6627329
    Autors:
    Steinegger, BenjaminArenas, AlexGomez-Gardenes, JesusGranell, Clara
    Resum:
    Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic. We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence. We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.
  • Altres:

    Codi de projecte: 713679
    Data d'alta del registre: 2024-09-28
    Versió de l'article dipositat: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
    URL Document de llicència: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
    Referència a l'article segons font original: Physical Review Research. 2 (2): Art num 023181-
    Referència de l'ítem segons les normes APA: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara (2020). Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases. Physical Review Research, 2(2), Art num 023181-. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Acrònim: MFP
    Pàgina inicial: Article number 023181
    Tipus de publicació: Journal Publications
    Autor segons l'article: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara
    Departament: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques
    Autor/s de la URV: Arenas Moreno, Alejandro / Steinegger, Benjamin Franz Josef
    Resum: Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic. We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence. We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.
    Àrees temàtiques: Physics, multidisciplinary Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all)
    Accès a la llicència d'ús: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
    ISSN: 2643-1564
    Adreça de correu electrònic de l'autor: benjamin.steinegger@estudiants.urv.cat alexandre.arenas@urv.cat
    Identificador de l'autor: 0000-0002-0723-1536 0000-0003-0937-0334
    Volum de revista: 2
    Enllaç font original: https://journals.aps.org/prresearch/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Programa de finançament: Horizon 2020
    DOI de l'article: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Entitat: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
    Any de publicació de la revista: 2020
    Acció del programa de finançament: Martí i Franquès COFUND
  • Paraules clau:

    Physics and Astronomy (Miscellaneous),Physics, Multidisciplinary
    Physics, multidisciplinary
    Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous)
    Physics and astronomy (all)
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