Articles producció científica> Gestió d'Empreses

A new risk history: The Eastern Europe case

  • Datos identificativos

    Identificador: PC:759
    Handle: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11797/PC759
    Autores:
    Cano Berlanga, SAndreu Corbatón, J.Cardona Tomàs, J.M.
    Resumen:
    Eastern European Emerging Markets (EEEM's) have been superficially analysed in the literature. In this paper, the authors use a T-GARCH and E-GARCH approach to model volatility in eleven EEEM's, being one of the most comprehensive analysis in terms of number of markets. Data includes daily returns from 2004 to 2011. Main findings show higher unconditional volatility in EEEM's than in developed markets, but risk premium is statistically negative or non significant in this markets. Almost all markets show an important and significant leverage effect, contrary to previous results in the literature. According to the news impact and decay parameters, volatility is more difficult to predict in EEEM's than in developed markets. Greece, Hungary, Poland and Turkey seem to be the maturest EEEM's markets. Finally, no significant differences are found among countries inside and outside European Union.

  • Otros:

    Autor según el artículo: Cano Berlanga, S Andreu Corbatón, J. Cardona Tomàs, J.M.
    Departamento: Gestió d'Empreses
    e-ISSN: 2224-2899
    Resumen: Eastern European Emerging Markets (EEEM's) have been superficially analysed in the literature. In this paper, the authors use a T-GARCH and E-GARCH approach to model volatility in eleven EEEM's, being one of the most comprehensive analysis in terms of number of markets. Data includes daily returns from 2004 to 2011. Main findings show higher unconditional volatility in EEEM's than in developed markets, but risk premium is statistically negative or non significant in this markets. Almost all markets show an important and significant leverage effect, contrary to previous results in the literature. According to the news impact and decay parameters, volatility is more difficult to predict in EEEM's than in developed markets. Greece, Hungary, Poland and Turkey seem to be the maturest EEEM's markets. Finally, no significant differences are found among countries inside and outside European Union.
    Acceso a la licencia de uso: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
    Página final: 198
    Volumen de revista: 11
    Versión del articulo depositado: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
    Enlace a la fuente original: http://www.wseas.org/multimedia/journals/economics/2014/a325707-143.pdf
    URL Documento de licencia: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
    Entidad: Universitat Rovira i Virgili.
    Año de publicación de la revista: 2014
    Página inicial: 188