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Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases

  • Datos identificativos

    Identificador: imarina:6627329
    Autores:
    Steinegger, BenjaminArenas, AlexGomez-Gardenes, JesusGranell, Clara
    Resumen:
    Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic. We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence. We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.
  • Otros:

    Código de proyecto: 713679
    Palabras clave: Good health and well-being
    Fecha de alta del registro: 2024-11-23
    Versión del articulo depositado: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
    URL Documento de licencia: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
    Referencia al articulo segun fuente origial: Physical Review Research. 2 (2): Art num 023181-
    Referencia de l'ítem segons les normes APA: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara (2020). Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases. Physical Review Research, 2(2), Art num 023181-. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Acrónimo: MFP
    Página inicial: Article number 023181
    Tipo de publicación: Journal Publications
    Autor según el artículo: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara
    Departamento: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques
    Autor/es de la URV: Arenas Moreno, Alejandro / Steinegger, Benjamin Franz Josef
    Resumen: Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic. We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence. We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.
    Áreas temáticas: Physics, multidisciplinary Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all)
    Acceso a la licencia de uso: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
    ISSN: 2643-1564
    Direcció de correo del autor: benjamin.steinegger@estudiants.urv.cat alexandre.arenas@urv.cat
    Identificador del autor: 0000-0002-0723-1536 0000-0003-0937-0334
    Volumen de revista: 2
    Enlace a la fuente original: https://journals.aps.org/prresearch/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Programa de financiación: Horizon 2020
    DOI del artículo: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Entidad: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
    Año de publicación de la revista: 2020
    Acción del progama de financiación: Martí i Franquès COFUND
  • Palabras clave:

    Physics and Astronomy (Miscellaneous),Physics, Multidisciplinary
    Good health and well-being
    Physics, multidisciplinary
    Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous)
    Physics and astronomy (all)
  • Documentos:

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