Autor según el artículo: Cota, Wesley; Soriano-Panos, David; Arenas, A.; Ferreira, Silvio C.; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus;

Departamento: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques

Autor/es de la URV: Arenas Moreno, Alejandro

Palabras clave: Transmissions Theoretical framework Systems Super-spreaders Social behavior Sars Network Models Mobility pattern Microscopic mechanisms Metapopulations Mers Infectious disease Human mobility Events Epidemiology Epidemic threshold Epidemic processes Epidemic models Ebola Diseases Demographic distributions Covid-19 Complex networks

Resumen: Human mobility, contact patterns, and their interplay are key aspects of our social behavior that shape the spread of infectious diseases across different regions. In the light of new evidence and data sets about these two elements, epidemic models should be refined to incorporate both the heterogeneity of human contacts and the complexity of mobility patterns. Here, we propose a theoretical framework that allows accommodating these two aspects in the form of a set of Markovian equations. We validate these equations with extensive mechanistic simulations and derive analytically the epidemic threshold. The expression of this critical value allows us to evaluate its dependence on the specific demographic distribution, the structure of mobility flows, and the heterogeneity of contact patterns, thus shedding light on the microscopic mechanisms responsible for the epidemic detriment driven by recurrent mobility patterns reported in the literature.

Áreas temáticas: Química Psicología Physics, multidisciplinary Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all) Medicina ii Materiais Matemática / probabilidade e estatística Interdisciplinar General physics and astronomy Ensino Engenharias iv Engenharias iii Engenharias i Ciências biológicas i Ciência da computação Biotecnología Astronomia / física

Acceso a la licencia de uso: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/

Direcció de correo del autor: alexandre.arenas@urv.cat

Identificador del autor: 0000-0003-0937-0334

Fecha de alta del registro: 2023-02-19

Volumen de revista: 23

Versión del articulo depositado: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

Enlace a la fuente original: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1367-2630/ac0c99

URL Documento de licencia: http://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/

Referencia al articulo segun fuente origial: New Journal Of Physics. 23 (7):

Referencia de l'ítem segons les normes APA: Cota, Wesley; Soriano-Panos, David; Arenas, A.; Ferreira, Silvio C.; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; (2021). Infectious disease dynamics in metapopulations with heterogeneous transmission and recurrent mobility. New Journal Of Physics, 23(7), -. DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/ac0c99

DOI del artículo: 10.1088/1367-2630/ac0c99

Entidad: Universitat Rovira i Virgili

Año de publicación de la revista: 2021

Tipo de publicación: Journal Publications