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Application of homogenization methods for Ireland's monthly precipitation records: Comparison of break detection results

  • Dades identificatives

    Identificador: imarina:6248084
    Autors:
    Coll JDomonkos PGuijarro JCurley MRustemeier EAguilar EWalsh SSweeney J
    Resum:
    © 2020 Royal Meteorological Society Time series homogenization for 299 of the available precipitation records for the island of Ireland (IENet) was performed. Four modern relative homogenization methods, that is, HOMER, ACMANT, CLIMATOL and AHOPS were applied to this network of station series where contiguous intact monthly records range from 30 to 70 years within the base period 1941–2010. Break detection results are compared between homogenization methods, and coincidences with available documentary information (metadata) were analysed. The lowest (highest) number of breaks were detected with HOMER (ACMANT). Large differences of break frequency were found, namely ACMANT and AHOPS detected 8 times as many breaks than HOMER, while the break frequency with CLIMATOL was intermediate. Also, the ratio of series classified to be homogeneous varies widely between the methods. It is 85% with HOMER, 60% with CLIMATOL, 31% with AHOPS, while only 22% with ACMANT. In a further experiment, all the available time series for Ireland and Northern Ireland, (910 series) were used with ACMANT and CLIMATOL to explore the stability of break frequency for the same 299 series examined in the base experiment. While overall break frequency slightly increased (by 6–13%), the break positions notably changed for individual time series. The number of breaks changed for 59% (23%) of the series with ACMANT (CLIMATOL). For the breaks detected coincidentally by at least three methods including ACMANT and CLIMATOL in the base experiment, the second experiment confirmed the break positions in 86–87% of the breaks. The consequences of these results in relation to the reliability of statistical homogenization are discussed. Sometimes markedly different step functions provide comparable good approaches. Ho
  • Altres:

    Autor segons l'article: Coll J; Domonkos P; Guijarro J; Curley M; Rustemeier E; Aguilar E; Walsh S; Sweeney J
    Departament: Geografia
    Autor/s de la URV: Aguilar Anfrons, Enrique Modesto / DOMONKOS, PÉTER
    Paraules clau: Time-series Precipitation Ireland Inhomogeneities Homogenization Homogeneity Homer Efficiency Daily temperature Climatol Climate data Changepoint detection Central pyrenees Break detection Benchmarking Algorithms Ahops Acmant
    Resum: © 2020 Royal Meteorological Society Time series homogenization for 299 of the available precipitation records for the island of Ireland (IENet) was performed. Four modern relative homogenization methods, that is, HOMER, ACMANT, CLIMATOL and AHOPS were applied to this network of station series where contiguous intact monthly records range from 30 to 70 years within the base period 1941–2010. Break detection results are compared between homogenization methods, and coincidences with available documentary information (metadata) were analysed. The lowest (highest) number of breaks were detected with HOMER (ACMANT). Large differences of break frequency were found, namely ACMANT and AHOPS detected 8 times as many breaks than HOMER, while the break frequency with CLIMATOL was intermediate. Also, the ratio of series classified to be homogeneous varies widely between the methods. It is 85% with HOMER, 60% with CLIMATOL, 31% with AHOPS, while only 22% with ACMANT. In a further experiment, all the available time series for Ireland and Northern Ireland, (910 series) were used with ACMANT and CLIMATOL to explore the stability of break frequency for the same 299 series examined in the base experiment. While overall break frequency slightly increased (by 6–13%), the break positions notably changed for individual time series. The number of breaks changed for 59% (23%) of the series with ACMANT (CLIMATOL). For the breaks detected coincidentally by at least three methods including ACMANT and CLIMATOL in the base experiment, the second experiment confirmed the break positions in 86–87% of the breaks. The consequences of these results in relation to the reliability of statistical homogenization are discussed. Sometimes markedly different step functions provide comparable good approaches. However, the accuracy of homogenized time series cannot be related directly to the instability of break detection results.
    Grup de recerca: Centre en Canvi Climàtic (C3)
    Àrees temàtiques: Planejamento urbano e regional / demografia Meteorology & atmospheric sciences Interdisciplinar Geociências Engenharias iii Engenharias i Ciências biológicas i Ciências ambientais Ciências agrárias i Ciência da computação Biodiversidade Atmospheric science
    Accès a la llicència d'ús: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
    ISSN: 08998418
    Adreça de correu electrònic de l'autor: enric.aguilar@urv.cat
    Identificador de l'autor: 0000-0002-8384-377X
    Data d'alta del registre: 2023-02-22
    Versió de l'article dipositat: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
    Enllaç font original: https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6575
    Referència a l'article segons font original: International Journal Of Climatology. 40 (14): 6169-6188
    Referència de l'ítem segons les normes APA: Coll J; Domonkos P; Guijarro J; Curley M; Rustemeier E; Aguilar E; Walsh S; Sweeney J (2020). Application of homogenization methods for Ireland's monthly precipitation records: Comparison of break detection results. International Journal Of Climatology, 40(14), 6169-6188. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6575
    URL Document de llicència: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
    DOI de l'article: 10.1002/joc.6575
    Entitat: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
    Any de publicació de la revista: 2020
    Tipus de publicació: Journal Publications
  • Paraules clau:

    Atmospheric Science,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
    Time-series
    Precipitation
    Ireland
    Inhomogeneities
    Homogenization
    Homogeneity
    Homer
    Efficiency
    Daily temperature
    Climatol
    Climate data
    Changepoint detection
    Central pyrenees
    Break detection
    Benchmarking
    Algorithms
    Ahops
    Acmant
    Planejamento urbano e regional / demografia
    Meteorology & atmospheric sciences
    Interdisciplinar
    Geociências
    Engenharias iii
    Engenharias i
    Ciências biológicas i
    Ciências ambientais
    Ciências agrárias i
    Ciência da computação
    Biodiversidade
    Atmospheric science
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