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Libor at crossroads: Stochastic switching detection using information theory quantifiers

  • Identification data

    Identifier: imarina:6388745
    Authors:
    Bariviera AGuercio MMartinez LRosso O
    Abstract:
    © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This paper studies the 28 time series of Libor rates, classified in seven maturities and four currencies, during the last 14 years. The analysis was performed using a novel technique in financial economics: the Complexity-Entropy Causality Plane. This planar representation allows the discrimination of different stochastic and chaotic regimes. Using a temporal analysis based on moving windows, this paper unveils an abnormal movement of Libor time series around the period of the 2007 financial crisis. This alteration in the stochastic dynamics of Libor is contemporary of what press called Libor scandal, i.e. the manipulation of interest rates carried out by several prime banks. We argue that our methodology is suitable as a market watch mechanism, as it makes visible the temporal redution in informational efficiency of the market.
  • Others:

    Author, as appears in the article.: Bariviera A; Guercio M; Martinez L; Rosso O
    Department: Gestió d'Empreses
    URV's Author/s: Fernández Bariviera, Aurelio / MARTÍNEZ, LISANA BELÉN
    Keywords: Teoría de la información Permutation statistical complexity Permutation entropy Libor Information theory Entropía de permutación Entropia de permutació
    Abstract: © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. This paper studies the 28 time series of Libor rates, classified in seven maturities and four currencies, during the last 14 years. The analysis was performed using a novel technique in financial economics: the Complexity-Entropy Causality Plane. This planar representation allows the discrimination of different stochastic and chaotic regimes. Using a temporal analysis based on moving windows, this paper unveils an abnormal movement of Libor time series around the period of the 2007 financial crisis. This alteration in the stochastic dynamics of Libor is contemporary of what press called Libor scandal, i.e. the manipulation of interest rates carried out by several prime banks. We argue that our methodology is suitable as a market watch mechanism, as it makes visible the temporal redution in informational efficiency of the market.
    Thematic Areas: Statistical and nonlinear physics Química Physics, multidisciplinary Physics, mathematical Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all) Physics Mathematics, interdisciplinary applications Mathematics, applied Mathematics (miscellaneous) Mathematics (all) Mathematical physics Materiais Matemática / probabilidade e estatística Interdisciplinar Geociências General physics and astronomy General mathematics Engenharias iv Engenharias iii Engenharias ii Engenharias i Economia Direito Ciências biológicas ii Ciências biológicas i Ciência da computação Astronomia / física Applied mathematics
    ISSN: 09600779
    Author's mail: aurelio.fernandez@urv.cat
    Author identifier: 0000-0003-1014-1010
    Record's date: 2024-09-07
    Papper version: info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
    Link to the original source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0960077916300406?via%3Dihub
    Licence document URL: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
    Papper original source: Chaos Solitons & Fractals. 88 172-182
    APA: Bariviera A; Guercio M; Martinez L; Rosso O (2016). Libor at crossroads: Stochastic switching detection using information theory quantifiers. Chaos Solitons & Fractals, 88(), 172-182. DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2016.02.009
    Article's DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2016.02.009
    Entity: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
    Journal publication year: 2016
    Publication Type: Journal Publications
  • Keywords:

    Applied Mathematics,Mathematical Physics,Mathematics (Miscellaneous),Mathematics, Applied,Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications,Physics,Physics and Astronomy (Miscellaneous),Physics, Mathematical,Physics, Multidisciplinary,Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
    Teoría de la información
    Permutation statistical complexity
    Permutation entropy
    Libor
    Information theory
    Entropía de permutación
    Entropia de permutació
    Statistical and nonlinear physics
    Química
    Physics, multidisciplinary
    Physics, mathematical
    Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous)
    Physics and astronomy (all)
    Physics
    Mathematics, interdisciplinary applications
    Mathematics, applied
    Mathematics (miscellaneous)
    Mathematics (all)
    Mathematical physics
    Materiais
    Matemática / probabilidade e estatística
    Interdisciplinar
    Geociências
    General physics and astronomy
    General mathematics
    Engenharias iv
    Engenharias iii
    Engenharias ii
    Engenharias i
    Economia
    Direito
    Ciências biológicas ii
    Ciências biológicas i
    Ciência da computação
    Astronomia / física
    Applied mathematics
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