Articles producció científica> Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques

Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases

  • Identification data

    Identifier: imarina:6627329
    Authors:
    Steinegger, BenjaminArenas, AlexGomez-Gardenes, JesusGranell, Clara
    Abstract:
    Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic. We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence. We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.
  • Others:

    Project code: 713679
    Record's date: 2024-09-28
    Papper version: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
    Licence document URL: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
    Papper original source: Physical Review Research. 2 (2): Art num 023181-
    APA: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara (2020). Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases. Physical Review Research, 2(2), Art num 023181-. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Acronym: MFP
    First page: Article number 023181
    Publication Type: Journal Publications
    Author, as appears in the article.: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara
    Department: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques
    URV's Author/s: Arenas Moreno, Alejandro / Steinegger, Benjamin Franz Josef
    Abstract: Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic. We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence. We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.
    Thematic Areas: Physics, multidisciplinary Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all)
    licence for use: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
    ISSN: 2643-1564
    Author's mail: benjamin.steinegger@estudiants.urv.cat alexandre.arenas@urv.cat
    Author identifier: 0000-0002-0723-1536 0000-0003-0937-0334
    Journal volume: 2
    Link to the original source: https://journals.aps.org/prresearch/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Funding program: Horizon 2020
    Article's DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
    Entity: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
    Journal publication year: 2020
    Funding program action: Martí i Franquès COFUND
  • Keywords:

    Physics and Astronomy (Miscellaneous),Physics, Multidisciplinary
    Physics, multidisciplinary
    Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous)
    Physics and astronomy (all)
  • Documents:

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