Project code: 713679
Record's date: 2024-09-28
Papper version: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Licence document URL: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
Papper original source: Physical Review Research. 2 (2): Art num 023181-
APA: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara (2020). Pulsating campaigns of human prophylaxis driven by risk perception palliate oscillations of direct contact transmitted diseases. Physical Review Research, 2(2), Art num 023181-. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
Acronym: MFP
First page: Article number 023181
Publication Type: Journal Publications
Author, as appears in the article.: Steinegger, Benjamin; Arenas, Alex; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus; Granell, Clara
Department: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques
URV's Author/s: Arenas Moreno, Alejandro / Steinegger, Benjamin Franz Josef
Abstract: Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics is essential to design effective intervention policies. Here we explore, analytically, the interplay between the personal decision to protect oneself from infection and the spreading of an epidemic. We do so by coupling a decision game based on the perceived risk of infection with a susceptible-infected-susceptible model. Interestingly, we find that the simple decision of whether to protect oneself is enough to modify the course of the epidemics, by generating sustained steady oscillations in the prevalence. We deem these oscillations detrimental and propose two intervention policies aimed at modifying behavioral patterns to help alleviate them. Surprisingly, we find that pulsating campaigns, compared to continuous ones, are more effective in diminishing such oscillations.
Thematic Areas: Physics, multidisciplinary Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all)
licence for use: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
ISSN: 2643-1564
Author's mail: benjamin.steinegger@estudiants.urv.cat alexandre.arenas@urv.cat
Author identifier: 0000-0002-0723-1536 0000-0003-0937-0334
Journal volume: 2
Link to the original source: https://journals.aps.org/prresearch/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
Funding program: Horizon 2020
Article's DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023181
Entity: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
Journal publication year: 2020
Funding program action: Martí i Franquès COFUND