Articles producció científica> Medicina i Cirurgia

Predicting Ovarian-Cancer Burden in Catalonia by 2030: An Age–Period–Cohort Modelling

  • Identification data

    Identifier: imarina:9243760
    Authors:
    Peremiquel-Trillas PFrias-Gomez JAlemany LAmeijide AVilardell MMarcos-Gragera RPaytubi SPonce JMartínez JMPineda MBrunet JMatías-Guiu XCarulla MGalceran JIzquierdo ÁBorràs JMCostas LClèries R
    Abstract:
    Ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynaecological cancer in very-high-human-developmentindex regions. Ovarian cancer incidence and mortality rates are estimated to globally rise by 2035, although incidence and mortality rates depend on the region and prevalence of the associated risk factors. The aim of this study is to assess changes in incidence and mortality of ovarian cancer in Catalonia by 2030. Bayesian autoregressive age–period–cohort models were used to predict the burden of OC incidence and mortality rates for the 2015–2030 period. Incidence and mortality rates of ovarian cancer are expected to decline in Catalonia by 2030 in women ≥ 45 years of age. A decrease in ovarian-cancer risk was observed with increasing year of birth, with a rebound in women born in the 1980s. A decrease in mortality was observed for the period of diagnosis and period of death. Nevertheless, ovarian-cancer mortality remains higher among older women compared to other age groups. Our study summarizes the most plausible scenario for ovarian-cancer changes in terms of incidence and mortality in Catalonia by 2030, which may be of interest from a public health perspective for policy implementation.
  • Others:

    Author, as appears in the article.: Peremiquel-Trillas P; Frias-Gomez J; Alemany L; Ameijide A; Vilardell M; Marcos-Gragera R; Paytubi S; Ponce J; Martínez JM; Pineda M; Brunet J; Matías-Guiu X; Carulla M; Galceran J; Izquierdo Á; Borràs JM; Costas L; Clèries R
    Department: Medicina i Cirurgia
    URV's Author/s: Galceran Padrós, Jaume Josep Maria
    Keywords: Time trends Survival Projections Ovarian cancer Mortality Incidence Burden
    Abstract: Ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynaecological cancer in very-high-human-developmentindex regions. Ovarian cancer incidence and mortality rates are estimated to globally rise by 2035, although incidence and mortality rates depend on the region and prevalence of the associated risk factors. The aim of this study is to assess changes in incidence and mortality of ovarian cancer in Catalonia by 2030. Bayesian autoregressive age–period–cohort models were used to predict the burden of OC incidence and mortality rates for the 2015–2030 period. Incidence and mortality rates of ovarian cancer are expected to decline in Catalonia by 2030 in women ≥ 45 years of age. A decrease in ovarian-cancer risk was observed with increasing year of birth, with a rebound in women born in the 1980s. A decrease in mortality was observed for the period of diagnosis and period of death. Nevertheless, ovarian-cancer mortality remains higher among older women compared to other age groups. Our study summarizes the most plausible scenario for ovarian-cancer changes in terms of incidence and mortality in Catalonia by 2030, which may be of interest from a public health perspective for policy implementation.
    Thematic Areas: Zootecnia / recursos pesqueiros Serviço social Saúde coletiva Química Public, environmental & occupational health Public health, environmental and occupational health Psicología Pollution Odontología Nutrição Medicina iii Medicina ii Medicina i Materiais Interdisciplinar Health, toxicology and mutagenesis Geografía Geociências Farmacia Environmental studies Environmental sciences Ensino Engenharias ii Engenharias i Enfermagem Educação física Educação Ciências biológicas iii Ciências biológicas ii Ciências biológicas i Ciências ambientais Ciências agrárias i Ciência da computação Biotecnología Biodiversidade Astronomia / física Administração pública e de empresas, ciências contábeis e turismo
    licence for use: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
    Author's mail: jaumejosepmaria.galceran@urv.cat
    Record's date: 2024-09-07
    Papper version: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
    Link to the original source: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/3/1404
    Licence document URL: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
    Papper original source: International Journal Of Environmental Research And Public Health. 19 (3):
    APA: Peremiquel-Trillas P; Frias-Gomez J; Alemany L; Ameijide A; Vilardell M; Marcos-Gragera R; Paytubi S; Ponce J; Martínez JM; Pineda M; Brunet J; Matías (2022). Predicting Ovarian-Cancer Burden in Catalonia by 2030: An Age–Period–Cohort Modelling. International Journal Of Environmental Research And Public Health, 19(3), -. DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19031404
    Article's DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19031404
    Entity: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
    Journal publication year: 2022
    Publication Type: Journal Publications
  • Keywords:

    Environmental Sciences,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis,Pollution,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
    Time trends
    Survival
    Projections
    Ovarian cancer
    Mortality
    Incidence
    Burden
    Zootecnia / recursos pesqueiros
    Serviço social
    Saúde coletiva
    Química
    Public, environmental & occupational health
    Public health, environmental and occupational health
    Psicología
    Pollution
    Odontología
    Nutrição
    Medicina iii
    Medicina ii
    Medicina i
    Materiais
    Interdisciplinar
    Health, toxicology and mutagenesis
    Geografía
    Geociências
    Farmacia
    Environmental studies
    Environmental sciences
    Ensino
    Engenharias ii
    Engenharias i
    Enfermagem
    Educação física
    Educação
    Ciências biológicas iii
    Ciências biológicas ii
    Ciências biológicas i
    Ciências ambientais
    Ciências agrárias i
    Ciência da computação
    Biotecnología
    Biodiversidade
    Astronomia / física
    Administração pública e de empresas, ciências contábeis e turismo
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