Autor segons l'article: Cota, Wesley; Soriano-Panos, David; Arenas, A; Ferreira, Silvio C; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus
Departament: Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques
Autor/s de la URV: Arenas Moreno, Alejandro
Paraules clau: Transmissions Theoretical framework Systems Super-spreaders Social behavior Sars Network Models Mobility pattern Microscopic mechanisms Metapopulations Mers Infectious disease Human mobility Events Epidemiology Epidemic threshold Epidemic processes Epidemic models Ebola Diseases Demographic distributions Covid-19 Complex networks
Resum: Human mobility, contact patterns, and their interplay are key aspects of our social behavior that shape the spread of infectious diseases across different regions. In the light of new evidence and data sets about these two elements, epidemic models should be refined to incorporate both the heterogeneity of human contacts and the complexity of mobility patterns. Here, we propose a theoretical framework that allows accommodating these two aspects in the form of a set of Markovian equations. We validate these equations with extensive mechanistic simulations and derive analytically the epidemic threshold. The expression of this critical value allows us to evaluate its dependence on the specific demographic distribution, the structure of mobility flows, and the heterogeneity of contact patterns, thus shedding light on the microscopic mechanisms responsible for the epidemic detriment driven by recurrent mobility patterns reported in the literature.
Àrees temàtiques: Química Psicología Physics, multidisciplinary Physics and astronomy (miscellaneous) Physics and astronomy (all) Medicina ii Materiais Matemática / probabilidade e estatística Interdisciplinar General physics and astronomy Ensino Engenharias iv Engenharias iii Engenharias i Ciências biológicas i Ciência da computação Biotecnología Astronomia / física
Accès a la llicència d'ús: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
Adreça de correu electrònic de l'autor: alexandre.arenas@urv.cat
Identificador de l'autor: 0000-0003-0937-0334
Data d'alta del registre: 2024-09-28
Volum de revista: 23
Versió de l'article dipositat: info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Enllaç font original: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1367-2630/ac0c99
URL Document de llicència: https://repositori.urv.cat/ca/proteccio-de-dades/
Referència a l'article segons font original: New Journal Of Physics. 23 (7): 073019-
Referència de l'ítem segons les normes APA: Cota, Wesley; Soriano-Panos, David; Arenas, A; Ferreira, Silvio C; Gomez-Gardenes, Jesus (2021). Infectious disease dynamics in metapopulations with heterogeneous transmission and recurrent mobility. New Journal Of Physics, 23(7), 073019-. DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/ac0c99
DOI de l'article: 10.1088/1367-2630/ac0c99
Entitat: Universitat Rovira i Virgili
Any de publicació de la revista: 2021
Tipus de publicació: Journal Publications